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Stephen Nover
I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.
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Free picks
I don't get the love for Houston here. The 10-19 Astros have been one of the biggest underachievers in baseball. The Guardians, by contrast, are tied for the second-best record in the majors at 19-10.
Houston starter Justin Verlander is royalty. But this is just his third start of the season as he works his way into shape. The Astros' bullpen has the sixth-highest ERA at 4.90. Star closer, Josh Hader, is unlikely to see action after pitching two innings last night, while throwing a season-high 33 pitches. Hader had not gotten more than three outs in a regular-season game since 2020.
Cleveland starter, righty Triston McKenzie, is a solid middle-of-the-rotation pitcher. He's given up three runs in his last two games spanning nine innings recording 13 strikeouts during this time frame. The Astros are 6-12 vs righties.
McKenzie is backed by the top bullpen in baseball. Cleveland relief pitchers have a combined ERA of 2.49, which is the lowest in the league.
(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is off to a fast baseball start going 19-10-2 on his premium plays this season.)
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
I expect a strong effort from Eflin and the Rays after a bench-clearing brawl during Tuesday night's games. Something like that can ignite a sleepy team.
Milwaukee starter Colin Rea is 2-0 with a 3.25 ERA. I expect regression from him. Rea's ERA the past three years were 4.55, 7.50 and 5.79. Rea doesn't generate many strikeouts. The Rays can exploit this.
The Brewers remain without injured outfielder Christian Yelich.
SERVICE BIO
Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons.
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